Arizona Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-01-06 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

CHI: 56.0%

ARI: 44.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.95

ARI: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

A. Stalock

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	22	22	0	100.0%	1.84	1	1.84
ARI	C. Ingram	32	30	2	93.8%	3.44	2	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CHI at home vs ARI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	19	0	1.30
1	ARI	10	0	0.75
2	CHI	20	1	1.11
2	ARI	8	0	0.52
3	CHI	9	1	1.02
3	ARI	10	1	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2