New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-01-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 New York Rangers (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.9%

NYR: 42.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.34

NYR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

NJD

V. Vanecek

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	34	31	3	91.2%	3.38	2	0.38
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	43	39	4	90.7%	4.89	5	0.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	25	3	2.48
1	NYR	13	0	0.73
2	NJD	15	2	1.32
2	NYR	17	0	1.44
3	NJD	8	0	0.66
3	NYR	15	1	0.96
4	NJD	4	0	0.44
4	NYR	2	1	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0