Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2023-01-07 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 43.9%
CAR: 56.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.60
CAR: 3.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
CAR
A. Raanta
| Stat | CBJ | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 45 | 40 | 5 | 88.9% | 5.45 | 3 | 0.45 |
| CAR | A. Raanta | 23 | 17 | 6 | 73.9% | 4.39 | 3 | -1.61 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CBJ at home vs CAR: 5-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | CAR 5 - 1 CBJ | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-31 | CBJ 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CBJ |
| 2026-03-17 | CBJ 5 - 1 CAR | CBJ | CAR |
| 2025-12-09 | CAR 4 - 1 CBJ | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-23 | CAR 7 - 4 CBJ | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 9 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 1 | CAR | 15 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 2 | CBJ | 10 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 2 | CAR | 26 | 1 | 1.90 |
| 3 | CBJ | 5 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 3 | CAR | 12 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 4 | CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | CAR | 2 | 0 | 0.08 |
| 5 | CBJ | 5 | 3 | 2.64 |
| 5 | CAR | 5 | 2 | 1.79 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.6 - 3.7
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