Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2023-01-07 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 8 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

OTT: 47.1%

SEA: 52.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.02

SEA: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	24	16	8	66.7%	1.87	0	-6.13
SEA	M. Jones	23	19	4	82.6%	2.41	2	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • OTT at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	0	1.00
1	SEA	8	0	0.64
2	OTT	6	0	0.42
2	SEA	11	0	0.57
3	OTT	14	2	0.99
3	SEA	12	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 8 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2