St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-01-08 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 60.8%

STL: 39.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.38

STL: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

STL

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	24	21	3	87.5%	3.01	4	0.01
STL	T. Greiss	35	35	0	100.0%	3.04	1	3.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • MIN at home vs STL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	1	0.81
1	STL	18	2	1.47
2	MIN	14	0	0.68
2	STL	10	1	0.75
3	MIN	29	0	1.56
3	STL	6	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9