Seattle Kraken at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2023-01-09 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 52.0%

SEA: 48.0%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.11

SEA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	41	37	4	90.2%	4.12	4	0.12
SEA	M. Jones	21	21	0	100.0%	2.44	2	2.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	7	0	0.61
1	SEA	23	1	1.34
2	MTL	16	0	0.87
2	SEA	18	0	0.86
3	MTL	9	2	0.96
3	SEA	10	3	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1