Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2023-01-10 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 48.1%

MIN: 51.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.43

MIN: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	35	31	4	88.6%	3.52	2	-0.48
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	46	41	5	89.1%	6.48	8	1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYR at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	MIN
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	2	1.51
1	MIN	17	0	0.89
2	NYR	23	2	1.63
2	MIN	12	1	0.80
3	NYR	9	1	0.78
3	MIN	12	0	0.72
4	NYR	9	1	0.83
4	MIN	2	0	0.19
5	NYR	3	2	1.73
5	MIN	3	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2