Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-01-10 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 7 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 47.4%

WPG: 52.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.89

WPG: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	37	32	5	86.5%	4.15	0	-0.85
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	23	16	7	69.6%	2.79	1	-4.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	WPG
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.59
1	WPG	13	0	0.72
2	DET	16	0	1.00
2	WPG	24	0	1.60
3	DET	7	1	1.21
3	WPG	25	0	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 7 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2