Seattle Kraken at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2023-01-12 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 0 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 61.8%

SEA: 38.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.75

SEA: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

BOS

L. Ullmark

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	31	28	3	90.3%	3.58	2	0.58
SEA	M. Jones	27	27	0	100.0%	3.09	1	3.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	BOS 4 - 2 SEA	BOS	BOS
2026-01-06	SEA 7 - 4 BOS	SEA	BOS
2024-12-12	SEA 5 - 1 BOS	SEA	BOS
2024-11-03	BOS 2 - 0 SEA	BOS	BOS
2024-02-26	SEA 4 - 3 BOS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.58
1	SEA	15	0	1.03
2	BOS	16	1	1.79
2	SEA	10	0	0.74
3	BOS	13	0	0.72
3	SEA	12	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 0 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7