New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-01-13 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

ANA: 33.5%

NJD: 66.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.90

NJD: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	39	33	6	84.6%	4.02	2	-1.98
NJD	V. Vanecek	33	31	2	93.9%	3.96	3	1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	0	0.30
1	NJD	16	1	1.57
2	ANA	26	2	2.54
2	NJD	20	0	0.81
3	ANA	17	1	1.12
3	NJD	16	1	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5