Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-01-13 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SJS: 48.5%

EDM: 51.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.06

EDM: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	41	34	7	82.9%	2.77	1	-4.23
EDM	Jack Campbell	26	25	1	96.2%	2.16	0	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.44
1	EDM	14	0	0.75
2	SJS	13	0	0.84
2	EDM	19	1	1.21
3	SJS	13	0	0.88
3	EDM	14	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4