Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-01-14 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

FLA: 62.6%

VAN: 37.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.47

VAN: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	38	35	3	92.1%	2.84	2	-0.16
VAN	S. Martin	35	31	4	88.6%	3.14	2	-0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	VAN
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	0	0.75
1	VAN	11	2	0.74
2	FLA	21	2	2.06
2	VAN	14	0	0.73
3	FLA	5	0	0.33
3	VAN	23	0	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0