Arizona Coyotes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-01-14 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

MIN: 58.2%

ARI: 41.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.12

ARI: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	28	27	1	96.4%	2.31	0	1.31
ARI	C. Ingram	27	25	2	92.6%	2.78	1	0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs ARI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.79
1	ARI	12	0	0.70
2	MIN	18	1	1.69
2	ARI	9	0	0.59
3	MIN	7	0	0.30
3	ARI	17	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.1 - 3.0