Buffalo Sabres at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-01-14 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

NSH: 47.0%

BUF: 53.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.01

BUF: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	28	5	84.8%	5.18	3	0.18
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	41	38	3	92.7%	3.12	0	0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	BUF 3 - 2 NSH	BUF	BUF
2026-01-20	NSH 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	NSH
2025-02-08	NSH 6 - 4 BUF	NSH	NSH
2025-01-31	BUF 4 - 3 NSH	BUF	NSH
2024-03-07	NSH 4 - 2 BUF	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	7	0	0.18
1	BUF	22	1	1.72
2	NSH	23	0	1.82
2	BUF	13	0	0.90
3	NSH	21	0	1.12
3	BUF	15	2	2.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1