Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-01-14 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 8 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CHI: 39.2%

SEA: 60.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.97

SEA: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	30	22	8	73.3%	3.29	3	-4.71
SEA	M. Jones	27	22	5	81.5%	1.89	1	-3.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs SEA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	SEA 2 - 4 CHI	CHI	SEA
2025-11-20	CHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-03	SEA 3 - 1 CHI	SEA	SEA
2025-03-18	CHI 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-12-19	CHI 3 - 1 SEA	CHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.56
1	SEA	17	2	2.07
2	CHI	14	1	0.72
2	SEA	13	0	0.41
3	CHI	16	0	0.61
3	SEA	12	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 8 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4