New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-01-14 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 63.5%

NJD: 36.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.29

NJD: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

LAK

J. Quick

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	28	23	5	82.1%	3.98	4	-1.02
NJD	M. Blackwood	37	35	2	94.6%	3.13	3	1.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NJD 6 - 4 LAK	NJD	NJD
2025-11-01	LAK 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	LAK
2025-01-01	LAK 3 - 0 NJD	LAK	LAK
2024-12-12	NJD 3 - 1 LAK	NJD	NJD
2024-03-03	LAK 5 - 1 NJD	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	0.95
1	NJD	10	1	0.90
2	LAK	18	1	1.18
2	NJD	10	0	0.76
3	LAK	15	2	1.01
3	NJD	19	3	2.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7