Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-01-15 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 72.1%

VAN: 27.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.53

VAN: 1.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	35	30	5	85.7%	4.29	3	-0.71
VAN	C. Delia	33	29	4	87.9%	4.19	2	0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.71
1	VAN	9	0	0.53
2	CAR	18	0	1.11
2	VAN	15	0	0.74
3	CAR	16	0	0.87
3	VAN	11	1	0.67
4	CAR	5	1	0.46
4	VAN	4	0	0.48
5	CAR	3	1	1.03
5	VAN	3	2	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 1.7