New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-01-16 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 64.1%

NYR: 35.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.24

NYR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	30	3	90.9%	3.77	2	0.77
NYR	J. Halak	25	24	1	96.0%	2.43	0	1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	7	0	0.49
1	NYR	24	1	1.81
2	CBJ	9	0	0.52
2	NYR	18	1	1.40
3	CBJ	17	0	1.42
3	NYR	8	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2