Detroit Red Wings at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-01-17 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (SO)

Win Probability

ARI: 64.4%

DET: 35.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.39

DET: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

DET

M. Hellberg

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Ingram	41	38	3	92.7%	3.82	1	0.82
DET	M. Hellberg	25	20	5	80.0%	4.19	3	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ARI at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-14	DET 1 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2024-03-08	ARI 4 - 0 DET	ARI	ARI
2023-01-17	ARI 4 - 3 DET	ARI	ARI
2022-11-25	DET 4 - 3 ARI	DET	DET
2022-03-08	DET 2 - 9 ARI	ARI	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	8	0	0.49
1	DET	20	1	1.52
2	ARI	8	0	0.36
2	DET	18	0	1.24
3	ARI	14	1	1.36
3	DET	11	0	0.77
4	ARI	4	0	0.34
4	DET	1	0	0.17
5	ARI	2	2	1.63
5	DET	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0