Anaheim Ducks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-01-19 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 56.3%

ANA: 43.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.27

ANA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	28	5	84.8%	3.33	4	-1.67
ANA	A. Stolarz	33	30	3	90.9%	3.28	3	0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs ANA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	ANA 4 - 3 CBJ	ANA	ANA
2025-12-16	CBJ 4 - 3 ANA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-14	CBJ 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	CBJ
2024-11-10	ANA 4 - 2 CBJ	ANA	CBJ
2024-02-21	ANA 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	18	2	1.29
1	ANA	16	0	0.89
2	CBJ	12	0	0.78
2	ANA	11	2	0.89
3	CBJ	19	1	1.21
3	ANA	18	2	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0