New Jersey Devils at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-01-19 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 46.5%

NJD: 53.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.83

NJD: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

SEA

M. Jones

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	30	27	3	90.0%	3.48	3	0.48
NJD	M. Blackwood	40	36	4	90.0%	4.06	2	0.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	SEA 4 - 2 NJD	SEA	NJD
2026-01-14	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-06	SEA 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-06	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2024-02-12	NJD 3 - 1 SEA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	23	1	2.07
1	NJD	14	1	0.82
2	SEA	19	0	0.99
2	NJD	14	0	1.05
3	SEA	17	1	0.95
3	NJD	16	2	1.52
4	SEA	1	0	0.05
4	NJD	1	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1