Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-01-20 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

VAN: 47.7%

COL: 52.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.99

COL: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

C. Delia

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	C. Delia	29	25	4	86.2%	2.26	1	-1.74
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	29	28	1	96.6%	2.83	0	1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs COL: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	0	0.86
1	COL	18	0	1.26
2	VAN	13	0	0.91
2	COL	15	0	0.72
3	VAN	16	0	1.05
3	COL	6	1	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1