Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

DET: 49.1%

PHI: 50.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.43

PHI: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	25	23	2	92.0%	1.99	2	-0.01
PHI	C. Hart	31	30	1	96.8%	2.91	3	1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs PHI: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	DET 6 - 3 PHI	DET	PHI
2026-04-02	PHI 2 - 4 DET	DET	PHI
2026-03-28	DET 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-01-21	PHI 2 - 1 DET	PHI	PHI
2024-12-18	DET 6 - 4 PHI	DET	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	1	1.10
1	PHI	12	0	0.26
2	DET	9	0	0.36
2	PHI	15	0	0.56
3	DET	17	2	1.45
3	PHI	9	2	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2