San Jose Sharks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 44.4%

SJS: 55.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.07

SJS: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	26	23	3	88.5%	3.51	2	0.51
SJS	K. Kahkonen	29	24	5	82.8%	3.28	1	-1.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CBJ 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	CBJ
2026-01-06	SJS 5 - 2 CBJ	SJS	SJS
2025-01-16	CBJ 4 - 1 SJS	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-05	SJS 2 - 1 CBJ	SJS	CBJ
2024-03-16	CBJ 4 - 2 SJS	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	5	0	0.25
1	SJS	17	1	1.52
2	CBJ	20	0	1.17
2	SJS	9	0	0.79
3	CBJ	21	1	1.85
3	SJS	8	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2