Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 59.9%

CHI: 40.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.28

CHI: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CHI

J. Stauber

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	18	13	5	72.2%	1.91	2	-3.09
CHI	J. Stauber	32	29	3	90.6%	2.72	0	-0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • STL at home vs CHI: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	14	0	1.31
1	CHI	5	0	0.52
2	STL	14	0	0.77
2	CHI	11	0	0.51
3	STL	13	0	0.64
3	CHI	8	2	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8