Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 45.8%

LAK: 54.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.04

LAK: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	34	31	3	91.2%	3.83	1	0.83
LAK	Pheonix Copley	28	23	5	82.1%	4.43	3	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NSH at home vs LAK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	LAK 3 - 2 NSH	LAK	LAK
2026-04-02	LAK 4 - 5 NSH	NSH	LAK
2025-10-25	NSH 5 - 4 LAK	NSH	NSH
2025-03-15	LAK 1 - 0 NSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-21	NSH 3 - 2 LAK	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.59
1	LAK	19	0	1.60
2	NSH	13	0	1.11
2	LAK	15	1	1.70
3	NSH	18	3	2.73
3	LAK	11	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4