Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 57.3%

COL: 42.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.15

COL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	26	2	92.9%	2.81	3	0.81
COL	P. Francouz	27	26	1	96.3%	2.41	1	1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • SEA at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	0.94
1	COL	16	0	0.64
2	SEA	13	0	0.59
2	COL	15	1	0.82
3	SEA	15	1	0.76
3	COL	6	0	0.11
4	SEA	1	0	0.02
4	COL	2	1	0.31
5	SEA	1	0	0.09
5	COL	1	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2