Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-01-22 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

CHI: 49.9%

LAK: 50.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.06

LAK: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	27	25	2	92.6%	4.01	5	2.01
LAK	Pheonix Copley	19	18	1	94.7%	1.54	0	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs LAK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	LAK 6 - 0 CHI	LAK	LAK
2025-12-04	LAK 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	LAK
2025-10-26	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	CHI
2025-03-20	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-03	CHI 5 - 1 LAK	CHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	5	0	0.46
1	LAK	14	2	1.15
2	CHI	11	0	0.44
2	LAK	19	1	1.65
3	CHI	14	0	0.64
3	LAK	8	2	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5