Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2023-01-24 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 47.1%

LAK: 52.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.18

LAK: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

PHI

C. Hart

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	38	34	4	89.5%	3.35	1	-0.65
LAK	Pheonix Copley	31	28	3	90.3%	2.10	0	-0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	0.66
1	LAK	20	1	1.12
2	PHI	10	0	0.78
2	LAK	17	0	1.14
3	PHI	10	0	0.48
3	LAK	11	0	0.64
4	PHI	2	0	0.18
4	LAK	4	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2