Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-01-24 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 61.3%

ANA: 38.7%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.17

ANA: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Ingram	43	38	5	88.4%	4.29	3	-0.71
ANA	A. Stolarz	39	37	2	94.9%	3.56	1	1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs ANA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-29	ANA 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	ANA
2023-11-01	ANA 4 - 3 ARI	ANA	ARI
2023-10-21	ARI 2 - 1 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-08	ARI 5 - 4 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-01-28	ANA 2 - 1 ARI	ANA	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	15	1	1.12
1	ANA	20	1	1.41
2	ARI	15	0	0.78
2	ANA	21	1	1.60
3	ARI	23	0	1.66
3	ANA	16	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1