Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2023-01-25 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 45.3%

CAR: 54.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.93

CAR: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	24	21	3	87.5%	2.26	2	-0.74
CAR	Frederik Andersen	21	19	2	90.5%	1.49	0	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	DAL
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	0	0.52
1	CAR	12	0	0.63
2	DAL	7	0	0.27
2	CAR	16	1	0.94
3	DAL	10	0	0.70
3	CAR	7	1	0.47
4	DAL	0	0	0.00
4	CAR	2	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4