Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-01-25 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

SEA: 73.3%

VAN: 26.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.82

VAN: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

SEA

M. Jones

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	20	19	1	95.0%	1.47	1	0.47
VAN	S. Martin	35	29	6	82.9%	3.01	1	-2.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SEA at home vs VAN: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	23	0	1.45
1	VAN	9	0	0.10
2	SEA	15	0	0.83
2	VAN	8	0	0.26
3	SEA	10	1	0.73
3	VAN	16	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.8 - 3.1