New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-01-26 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 47.7%

NJD: 52.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.93

NJD: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	39	35	4	89.7%	4.05	1	0.05
NJD	M. Blackwood	41	35	6	85.4%	4.80	2	-1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • NSH at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NSH 2 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-01-29	NJD 3 - 2 NSH	NJD	NSH
2025-02-23	NSH 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	NSH
2024-11-25	NJD 5 - 2 NSH	NJD	NJD
2024-04-07	NJD 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	32	1	2.19
1	NJD	13	0	0.85
2	NSH	14	0	0.74
2	NJD	15	0	1.18
3	NSH	16	1	1.86
3	NJD	22	1	2.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 6 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1