Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2023-01-27 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 45.7%
LAK: 54.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.98
LAK: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
A. Lyon
LAK
Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA
| Stat | FLA | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.833 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 4.37 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | A. Lyon | 33 | 29 | 4 | 87.9% | 3.10 | 2 | -0.90 |
| LAK | Pheonix Copley | 48 | 45 | 3 | 93.8% | 4.46 | 2 | 1.46 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs LAK: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | FLA 3 - 2 LAK | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-11-06 | LAK 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | LAK |
| 2025-01-29 | FLA 3 - 0 LAK | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-22 | LAK 2 - 1 FLA | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-11 | FLA 3 - 2 LAK | FLA | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 14 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 1 | LAK | 15 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 2 | FLA | 21 | 2 | 1.85 |
| 2 | LAK | 10 | 1 | 0.95 |
| 3 | FLA | 26 | 0 | 1.76 |
| 3 | LAK | 14 | 1 | 1.43 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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