Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2023-01-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

EDM: 67.5%

CHI: 32.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.88

CHI: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	29	26	3	89.7%	3.09	4	0.09
CHI	Petr Mrazek	43	36	7	83.7%	5.47	4	-1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs CHI: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	11	1	0.89
1	CHI	10	0	0.53
2	EDM	22	0	1.82
2	CHI	12	2	1.51
3	EDM	19	3	2.75
3	CHI	13	2	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.4