Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-01-31 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 56.8%

LAK: 43.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.58

LAK: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	21	17	4	81.0%	1.85	1	-2.15
LAK	Pheonix Copley	30	25	5	83.3%	2.96	3	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	LAK
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	1	1.34
1	LAK	10	0	0.38
2	CAR	10	0	0.31
2	LAK	11	1	1.06
3	CAR	16	1	0.65
3	LAK	7	0	0.27
4	CAR	6	1	0.65
4	LAK	1	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1