Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-01-31 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Washington Capitals (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.1%

WSH: 49.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.83

WSH: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	34	30	4	88.2%	3.23	5	-0.77
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	34	31	3	91.2%	2.19	0	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	0	0.48
1	WSH	15	2	1.18
2	CBJ	14	0	0.84
2	WSH	11	3	1.19
3	CBJ	18	0	0.87
3	WSH	15	0	0.83
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	WSH	1	0	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4