Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2023-02-06 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

DAL: 71.9%

ANA: 28.1%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.96

ANA: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	36	33	3	91.7%	4.18	2	1.18
ANA	John Gibson	44	40	4	90.9%	6.93	8	2.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DAL at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	21	1	1.32
1	ANA	15	0	0.74
2	DAL	26	3	2.39
2	ANA	12	0	0.67
3	DAL	12	1	0.73
3	ANA	13	0	0.96
4	DAL	5	1	0.76
4	ANA	4	1	0.74
5	DAL	3	2	1.74
5	ANA	3	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.5