Minnesota Wild at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-02-06 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

ARI: 68.2%

MIN: 31.8%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.48

MIN: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	35	33	2	94.3%	3.16	0	1.16
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	36	33	3	91.7%	4.07	1	1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ARI at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	19	1	1.45
1	MIN	11	0	1.19
2	ARI	17	0	1.35
2	MIN	19	0	0.93
3	ARI	19	0	1.27
3	MIN	20	0	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2