Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-02-07 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 0 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 47.2%

SEA: 52.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.68

SEA: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	32	32	0	100.0%	2.39	0	2.39
SEA	M. Jones	28	24	4	85.7%	2.91	0	-1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYI at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYI	12	0.78
1	SEA	14	0.57
2	NYI	14	0.83
2	SEA	17	1.02
3	NYI	13	1.31
3	SEA	15	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.7 - 2.7