Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-02-10 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

CBJ: 40.0%

TOR: 60.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.77

TOR: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

TOR

I. Samsonov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	41	38	3	92.7%	4.37	2	1.37
TOR	I. Samsonov	30	30	0	100.0%	2.13	0	2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	TOR
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	0	0.36
1	TOR	16	1	1.62
2	CBJ	18	0	0.97
2	TOR	17	0	1.01
3	CBJ	14	0	0.80
3	TOR	19	1	1.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.8 - 3.7