Arizona Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-02-10 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 44.9%

ARI: 55.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.89

ARI: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

CHI

J. Stauber

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	J. Stauber	26	23	3	88.5%	2.51	0	-0.49
ARI	C. Ingram	44	40	4	90.9%	3.30	2	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CHI at home vs ARI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	21	1	1.01
1	ARI	14	0	0.50
2	CHI	16	0	1.00
2	ARI	10	0	0.63
3	CHI	15	0	0.74
3	ARI	16	0	1.19
4	CHI	4	1	0.55
4	ARI	2	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1