Arizona Coyotes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-02-11 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

Win Probability

STL: 64.2%

ARI: 35.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.58

ARI: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	23	5	82.1%	2.75	1	-2.25
ARI	K. Vejmelka	37	31	6	83.8%	4.30	1	-1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • STL at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-02	ARI 4 - 1 STL	ARI	ARI
2023-11-22	ARI 5 - 6 STL	STL	ARI
2023-11-09	STL 2 - 1 ARI	STL	ARI
2023-10-19	STL 2 - 6 ARI	ARI	STL
2023-03-07	ARI 6 - 2 STL	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	1	1.13
1	ARI	13	1	0.80
2	STL	21	0	1.53
2	ARI	12	0	0.93
3	STL	18	0	1.37
3	ARI	13	0	1.02
4	STL	2	0	0.27
4	ARI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9