New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-02-11 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils (SO)

Win Probability

MIN: 55.8%

NJD: 44.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.12

NJD: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	31	29	2	93.5%	2.36	1	0.36
NJD	V. Vanecek	27	23	4	85.2%	4.26	2	0.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.29
1	NJD	9	0	0.41
2	MIN	10	0	0.58
2	NJD	16	0	0.91
3	MIN	16	0	1.27
3	NJD	11	0	0.55
4	MIN	5	0	0.33
4	NJD	3	1	0.35
5	MIN	3	2	1.79
5	NJD	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0