Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-02-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

LAK: 68.3%

PIT: 31.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.55

PIT: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	25	25	0	100.0%	2.96	2	2.96
PIT	C. DeSmith	31	25	6	80.6%	4.88	5	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • LAK at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	1	1.44
1	PIT	18	1	1.04
2	LAK	17	2	2.10
2	PIT	12	0	0.90
3	LAK	12	2	1.34
3	PIT	16	1	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5