Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2023-02-12 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

PHI: 46.7%

SEA: 53.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.30

SEA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

PHI

F. Sandstrom

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	F. Sandstrom	21	17	4	81.0%	2.83	3	-1.17
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	18	15	3	83.3%	1.86	1	-1.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	7	0	0.41
1	SEA	17	1	1.28
2	PHI	6	1	0.53
2	SEA	13	0	0.77
3	PHI	15	0	0.93
3	SEA	5	2	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1