Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2023-02-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

VGK: 71.2%

ANA: 28.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.77

ANA: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	25	23	2	92.0%	1.79	0	-0.21
ANA	John Gibson	39	32	7	82.1%	3.38	0	-3.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs ANA: 9-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	VGK	16	1.18
1	ANA	10	0.33
2	VGK	18	0.92
2	ANA	13	0.80
3	VGK	19	1.28
3	ANA	15	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.5