Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-02-13 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Florida Panthers (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 53.7%

FLA: 46.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.39

FLA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	36	33	3	91.7%	5.00	3	2.00
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	29	2	93.5%	3.75	3	1.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	FLA
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-01-19	FLA 4 - 6 MIN	MIN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.84
1	FLA	23	0	1.41
2	MIN	17	1	1.16
2	FLA	13	1	0.88
3	MIN	8	1	0.39
3	FLA	13	0	0.85
4	MIN	5	0	0.58
4	FLA	1	0	0.05
5	MIN	3	1	0.79
5	FLA	2	2	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9