Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2023-02-13 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 54.9%
BUF: 45.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.96
BUF: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA
BUF
C. Anderson
| Stat | LAK | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.833 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.37 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | Pheonix Copley | 29 | 27 | 2 | 93.1% | 3.11 | 2 | 1.11 |
| BUF | C. Anderson | 28 | 23 | 5 | 82.1% | 2.39 | 1 | -2.61 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs BUF: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | BUF |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 13 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 1 | BUF | 10 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 2 | LAK | 13 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 2 | BUF | 15 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 3 | LAK | 15 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 3 | BUF | 16 | 1 | 1.59 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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