Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2023-02-14 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

WSH: 46.6%

CAR: 53.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.60

CAR: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

WSH

D. Kuemper

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	D. Kuemper	30	27	3	90.0%	2.44	0	-0.56
CAR	Frederik Andersen	36	34	2	94.4%	3.47	2	1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • WSH at home vs CAR: 6-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	0	0.63
1	CAR	13	0	0.52
2	WSH	18	0	1.38
2	CAR	20	0	1.07
3	WSH	18	2	1.46
3	CAR	15	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3